The European Cooperation for Space Standardization

Download: ECSS-E-ST-10-03C, Space Engineering: Testing

Spacecraft Mechanical Loads Analysis Handbook:

ECSS-E-HB-32-26A_19February2013

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AEROSPACE REPORT No. TOR-2010(8591)-20

Flight Unit Qualification Guidelines

AEROSPACE REPORT NO. TR-2004(8583)-1 REV. A

Test Requirements for Launch, Upper-Stage, and Space Vehicles

AEROSPACE REPORT NO.TOR-2008(8583)-8215

Space and Missile Systems Center Compliance Specifications and Standards

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SMC-S-016, Air Force Space Command, Space and Missile Systems Center, Standard Test Requirements for Launch, Upper-Stage and Space Vehicles, 2014 Download Link

Acronym: maximum predicted environment (MPE)

Question:

SMC-S-016 specifies adding 4.9 dB to the log-mean for vibration and shock to get to the 95/50 probability/confidence level to define an MPE. This is quite conservative relative to the Range Safety RCC319 that simply says to envelope at least 3 flights of limit level data to define the MPE. Just wondering what your thoughts are on this.

Answer from a Colleague at the Aerospace Corporation:

SMC-S-016 defines the MPE for vibration, shock, and acoustic environments at a P95/50 statistical levels. The P95/50 MPE is defined as 4.9 dB above the log-mean of the available flight data set to account for flight-to-flight variability. This approach is based on measurements of 24 static firings and over 40 flight tests which defines a standard deviation sigma of 3 dB. From normal tolerance limit table, the statistical factor Z at P95 with large number of samples is 1.65. Therefore, the 4.9 dB is calculated from 3 dB x 1.65. As a result the P95/50 level is defined as 4.9 dB above the log-mean level.

The log-mean is just the average of the logarithmic of the spectral values at each frequency of all the available flight data sets. The reason for calculating the log-mean is because each spectral value of each data set is considered as log-normally distributed. That is the normal distribution of the logarithmic value of the spectral values at each frequency.

The flight-to-flight variability is estimated using a statistical approach. The SMC-S-016MPE is defined as P95/50 statistical level. The RCC-319 MPE is defined as an envelope of three or more flight data sets. We do not know statistical level the RCC-319 MPE is defined at. In order to judge the conservatism between the SMC-S-016 and the RCC-319 MPEs, the RCC-319 MPE needs to be assessed in the same statistical basis as in the SMC-S-016 MPE.

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Tom Irvine

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